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Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
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Crown Green Handicap

Ian Mckillop

Team: Thingwall BDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

855

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

11

Matches Played

4

Wins

7

Losses

36%

Win Rate

3.8

Avg Win Margin

10.4

Avg Loss Margin

2-2

Home Record

2-5

Away Record

11%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
11 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 5/5/2026

Only 11 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 11 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

20 May24 Jun8 Jul22 Jul7 Aug5 May-13712

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(35%)
36%
score-0.27→contribution-0.10
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
3.8
score-0.71→contribution-0.16
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.4
score-0.40→contribution-0.06
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
36%
score-0.27→contribution-0.03
Opponent Strength(15%)
857
score-0.44→contribution-0.07
Weighted Score-0.421
Sample Size Confidence
11%(11/33 matches)
Rating832 → shrunk 981→ adjusted 856
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)852
Recency Blend15% (11 recent matches)
Final Rating855
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

4W7L11 matches·36.4% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Thingwall B2025–2026Division B114736.4%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
5/5/2026Les HightonH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision B
8/12/2025Paul QuinlanH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision B
8/7/2025Dave EdwardsA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision B
7/24/2025Brian DentonH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision B
7/22/2025Bill DowA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
7/15/2025Ian FordH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision B
7/8/2025Steve PriceA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
7/1/2025John LewisA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
6/24/2025George GouldingA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision B
6/17/2025Chris DunbarA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
5/20/2025Ian FordA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision B
George ONeill Trophy2 games · 2W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundRon Whyte / Alan SimpsonPensby D15-13WINWON
Round of 16 RoundNicola Eccles / Steven GardnerLever Club B15-9WINLOST
Andy Dawson Cup1 games · 0W
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundBill DowTixall14-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LLWWL
Last 1040% win rate— steady
LLWWLWLWLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ian Ford11250%7/15/2025
Les Highton0110%5/5/2026
Paul Quinlan0110%8/12/2025
Dave Edwards101100%8/7/2025
Brian Denton101100%7/24/2025
Bill Dow0110%7/22/2025
Steve Price0110%7/8/2025
John Lewis101100%7/1/2025
George Goulding0110%6/24/2025
Chris Dunbar0110%6/17/2025
Biggest Win
John Lewis (+10)7/1/2025
Heaviest Defeat
Paul Quinlan (-15)8/12/2025
Best Season
202540% · 10 matches
Worst Season
202540% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
20% → 50%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
85711 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
4-640% win rate
Division B36.4%
4W·7L·11 played

Debut

May 20, 2025

Latest

May 5, 2026

Seasons Active

2 (11 mo span)

Matches / Season

5.5 (11 total)

Seasons

20252026